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Politics predictions

From elections to policy, call it early. Browse public politics pots, make your prediction with free points, and back it up.

Politics predictions pots

Politics
3d left

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes75%No25%
1100 pts pot
$930Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes25%No75%
1100 pts pot
$225Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by this Friday?

Yes6%No94%
1100 pts pot
$25Kvia Polymarket
Politics
21d left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Yes53%No47%
$25Kvia Polymarket
Politics
21d left

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?

Yes52%No48%
$14Kvia Polymarket
Politics
9d left

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes36%No64%
$51Kvia Polymarket
Politics
20d left

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Yes42%No58%
$19Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes50%No50%
$7Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Yes50%No50%
$7Kvia Polymarket
Politics
9d left

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes65%No35%
$29Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Yes78%No22%
$278Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes25%No75%
$137Kvia Polymarket
Politics
26d left

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes42%No58%
$9Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?

Yes32%No68%
$13Kvia Polymarket
Politics
20d left

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

Yes30%No70%
$16Kvia Polymarket
Politics
21d left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by Aug 15?

Yes32%No68%
$10Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Yes52%No48%
$1Kvia Polymarket
Politics
5d left

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes13%No87%
$193Kvia Polymarket
Politics
13h left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?

Yes91%No9%
$595Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by this Friday?

Yes16%No84%
$79Kvia Polymarket
Politics
16d left

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Yes70%No30%
$6Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by this Friday?

Yes95%No5%
$305Kvia Polymarket
Politics
13h left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?

Yes95%No5%
$245Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to this Tuesday?

Yes10%No90%
$52Kvia Polymarket
Politics
21d left

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes14%No86%
$12Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by this Friday?

Yes16%No84%
$7Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes4%No96%
$107Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?

Yes8%No92%
$25Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?

Yes96%No4%
$52Kvia Polymarket
Politics
5d left

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Yes7%No93%
$6Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by this Friday?

Yes8%No92%
$4Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by this Friday?

Yes5%No95%
$6Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

Yes8%No92%
$3Kvia Polymarket
Politics
18d left

Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

Yes89%No11%
$1Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Yes94%No6%
$2Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Yes<1%No>99%
1100 pts pot
$3Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes5%No95%
$2Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by this Friday?

Yes14%No86%
$422via Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

Yes4%No96%
$872via Polymarket
Politics
16d left

Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Yes8%No92%
$88via Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes1%No99%
$621Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes<1%No>99%
$619Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes<1%No>99%
$559Kvia Polymarket
Politics
5d left

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes1%No99%
$150Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to this Tuesday?

Yes<1%No>99%
$100Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to this Tuesday?

Yes2%No98%
$84Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to this Tuesday?

Yes<1%No>99%
$61Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Trump out as President by July 31?

Yes<1%No>99%
$52Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes2%No98%
$32Kvia Polymarket
Politics
5d left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by this Friday?

Yes<1%No>99%
$7Kvia Polymarket
Politics
6d left

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by this Friday?

Yes1%No99%
$938via Polymarket
Politics
5d left

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes1%No99%
$891via Polymarket
Politics
5d left

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by July 31?

Yes3%No97%
via Polymarket
Politics
5d left

Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

Yes2%No98%
via Polymarket